Tag Archives: Cincinnati Reds

Red October: Doc Throws Second No-Hitter in Playoff History

 


The final out of Halladay's second no-hitter of the season (photo from Jeff Sullivan at SB Nation)

October 6, 2010 – The day Roy Halladay threw the first no-hitter by an NL pitcher in the history of baseball.  According to @MLB_PR on Twitter, the game was the 1263rd playoff game in history, and just the 2nd no-hitter.  Let that sink in for a second.

October 6, 2010 – A date many Phillies‘ fans (and baseball fans in general) will not soon forget.  Fans of the Phillies may even remember where they were as Doc threw his second no-hitter of the season, becoming just the 5th man to do that in a season.

October 6, 2010 – The date this fan missed his favorite team’s ace throw a no-hitter because he was in French class!  Are you kidding me!  How did I allow this to happen?  I contemplated skipping class, but I had an exam, so that was out.  My only recourse to follow the game in real-time was to keep track of it on my Droid X using MLB At-Bat, and hope that I wouldn’t miss anything historic.    In retrospect, I should have set my Tivo.  I didn’t and I missed an historic event.  What an idiot!

Enough with my rant, time to talk about the game.  Much has been written, and rightfully so, about Roy Halladay’s brilliance and this post will add to those words.  Roy Halladay is simply the best pitcher in baseball.  He has been a beast throughout his career and his first season with the Phillies has been superlative. To quote Bill Baer of Crashburn Alley:

In his first year with the Phillies, Halladay has:

  • Pitched a perfect-game against the Florida Marlins
  • Made the NL All-Star team
  • Pitched a complete game shut-out to help his team clinch the division against the Washington Nationals
  • Led the NL in wins, complete games, shut-outs, innings pitched, strikeout-to-walk ratio, and lowest walk rate
  • [Will likely] win the NL Cy Young award
  • Put himself into legitimate NL MVP candidacy
  • Pitched a no-hitter in Game One of the NLDS against the Cincinnati Reds, his first career post-season start

On the day the trade went down that brought Halladay to the Phillies, I knew that he would be awesome in Philly.  I said to my wife’s uncle, that Halladay would easily have an ERA in the low 2′s (he ended the season with a 2.44 ERA) and that he was my favorite to win the Cy Young award.  When I made that prediction, I didn’t know he would be this good.

How good Halladay was last night? According to the ever helpful Baseball-Reference.com, Halladay’s pitching performance had a game score of 94, which tied it with Don Larsen‘s famous perfect game for the 4th best game score in post season history!  Two of the three players who finished with better game scores pitched into extra innings, adding points to their totals.  Roger Clemens (the man with the best game score) struck out 15 batters in a one-hitter against Seattle.  Strike outs count for something in the computation of game scores, so the Rocket grabs the top spot.

To quote Eno Sarris at FanGraphs:

But of course it was his work on the mound that was so impressive. He showed legendary control in pitching his no-hitter, only producing 25 balls on 104 pitches. He induced weak groundball after weak groundball (12 of them, to 6 fly balls). He was efficient – using only 11.6 pitches per inning. He was dominant. He had the kind of game that will go down in history right next to Don Larsen’s perfect game. He produced a game of which everyone who watched felt unworthy. He was awe-some.

That type of dominance is the reason the Phillies brought Halladay to Broad and Pattison.  I can’t wait to see what Doc has in store for us as the postseason continues.

Of course, the night couldn’t simply be a celebration of Roy Hallday’s greatness, somebody had to cause some controversy.  In what sounds a lot like sour grapes, Orlando Cabrera decided to spout these words, “He and the umpire pitched a no-hitter. He gave him every pitch. Basically, we had no chance.”  In response to this comment, as Eno Sarris points out using data from BrooksBaseball.net, Cabrera had nothing to complain about.  See the chart:

As you can see, Halladay had little help from umpire John Hirschbeck.

Clearly, Cabrera should take some lessons from fellow Red, Jonny Gomes who had this to say about Halladay,

I think Doc actually took the umpire out of the game by just throwing strikes. I really didn’t have any questionable strikes on me. I’m not really worried about the umpire too much. I’m worried about the guy on the mound. He did a great job — all four corners down and in, up and in, down and out. He threw all four pitches in all four corners.

Props to Gomes for showing some respect for the achievement, for the pitcher and for being a class act.

Looking ahead to tomorrow’s game; can the Phillies other Roy (Oswalt) pitch the Phillies to a 2-0 series lead or will the Reds and their potent offense strike back?

Oh, and if you missed the game like I did, check out all 27 outs here.

The First Annual Rally Cap First Half Awards

Biggest SurpriseSan Diego Padres. At the halfway point of the season, the San Diego Padres have to be considered the biggest surprise in baseball. Over the winter there was speculation the Padres would trade hometown hero, Adrian Gonzalez in an effort to start yet another rebuilding phase. The Padres hung on to Gonzalez and are glad they did, as he leads the team in nearly every major offensive category. Led by pitching staff that ranks first in the majors in ERA and second in shutouts. The staff is, surprisingly, led by 22-year old Mat Latos. Latos has been a revelation in his first full season in the majors. Latos has posted a 2.45 ERA, is averaging 3.54 strikeouts per walk, and has compiled a 10-4 record. In addition to Latos, the Padres are getting solid seasons form Jon Garland, Clayton Richard, and Wade LeBlanc. Combine the great starting pitching with a pitcher-friendly park and a lights out bullpen (2.91 ERA and 25 saves) and you have the Padres going into the Break with the 2nd best record in the National League. Runner-up: Cincinnati Reds. The Red have not had a winning season since 2000 and find themselves 1 game up on the St. Louis Cardinals in the NL Central.

Biggest Disappointment - Seattle Mariners. On the opposite end of the spectrum (and West Coast) from the Padres are the Seattle Mariners.  Seattle, finished 85-77 last season, and made moves to bolster their team over the offseason.  They signed Chone Figgins to a 4 year, $36 million contract in an effort to get better defensively at second base, but also in an effort to add more speed to the top of their order.  For their investment, the Mariners have gotten a .235 average, with 22 RBI, 24 SB and 9 errors from Figgins.  These numbers are far below Figgins’ career averages and clearly not worth the money they are spending.  If you compare Figgins with the man he essentially replaced (Adrian Beltre) the Mariners sure do look foolish.  Beltre is having a great season with the Red Sox and signed a 1-year contract worth $9 million (the same amount as Figgins for over twice the production).  In addition to Figgins, the Mariners traded for former Cy Young winner Cliff Lee (now shipped to Texas) and temperamental slugger Milton Bradley.  The pairing of Lee with Felix Hernandez was supposed to solidify the top of the rotation and Bradley was supposed to provide some pop in the middle of the order.  While Lee pitched exceptionally well, Bradley imploded (he’s hitting .210 with just 8 HR).   The Mariners clearly have given up on this season, shipping Lee to the Rangers for prospects.  It will be interesting to see if any other players are traded and how the Mariners play in the 2nd half.  Runner-up: Chicago Cubs. A year after finishing 5 games above .500, the Cubs (with the 3rd highest payroll in MLB) are 11 games under .500 going into the Break.

First Half NL Cy YoungJosh Johnson, Florida Marlins.  The race for the first half NL Cy Young was a close one, with at least 4 pitchers having legitimate cases for the award.  In the end, the award goes to the Marlins’ big right-hander.  Johnson has been nothing short of stellar this season, posting the lowest ERA in the majors (1.70).  Sure Ubaldo Jimenez has a more impressive record and excellent stats, Roy Halladay has a perfect game and more complete games than all but 2 teams, and Adam Wainwright has put up stellar numbers across the board.  Johnson has put up equally impressive numbers as the aforementioned trio.  He has averaged 9.07 strikeouts per 9 innings, has more strikeouts than innings pitched, and a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.39.  Johnson has not given up more than 4 runs in a game all season (and that game was the first of the year), and has walked only 28 batters in 122 innings.  Opponents are hitting just .203 against him.  His consistency, control, ability to make hitters swing and miss, and ERA make him my choice for the first half Cy Young.  Runners-up: Ubaldo Jimenez , Roy Halladay, Adam Wainwright

First Half AL Cy Young – David Price, Tampa Bay Rays.  The AL doesn’t have nearly as many dominant pitching performers as the National League.  The 2nd year man is my choice for the first half AL Cy Young.  Price leads the Rays’ pitching staff, which is 4th in the league in ERA and has led the Rays to the 2nd best record in the majors.  Price has pitched 2 complete games, 1 shutout, and has the lowest ERA in the AL.  In addition, he is tied for the AL lead with 12 wins and opponents are hitting just .223 against him.  Runners-up: Jon Lester, Felix Hernandez, C.C. Sabathia

First Half NL MVP – Joey Votto, Cincinnati Reds.  It is truly amazing that Joey Votto had to wait for MLB’s Final Vote to make the All-Star game.  He has been awesome this season.  He’s hit 22 home runs, driven in 60 runs, has the highest OPS (1.011) in the National League, and is batting .314.  Through in 4 stolen bases and a .997 fielding percentage and Votto is deserving choice for first half MVP.  Runners-up: Albert Pujols, Adam Dunn

First Half AL MVP – Miguel Cabrera, Detroit Tigers. This decision was the easiest of the awards.  Cabrera is pushing for the Triple Crown this season.  He leads the league with a .346 BA and 77 RBI, and is second in home runs with 22.  Cabrera also leads the league in OPS.  If Cabrera can keep up his current pace, he would become the first Triple Crown winner since Carl Yastrzemski in 1967.  Runner-up: Josh Hamilton.  In virtually any other year, Hamilton would have a case to win the award.  Like Cabrera, he has a .346 batting average and 22 homers.  He has 64 RBI and an OPS of 1.015.

First Half NL Rookie of the Year – Jaime Garcia, St. Louis Cardinals.  The race for rookie of the year in the National League is between two pitchers.  My choice for the first half ROY is the Cardinals’ lefty.  He has posted an 8-4 record in 17 starts with a 2.17 ERA.  He has a strikeout ratio of 7.22 K/9 and has been the 2nd best pitcher on the Cards’ staff.  Runner-up: Mike Leake.  Leake has been the 2nd best pitcher for the Reds, which is made even more impressive by the fact that he never pitched in the minors.

First Half AL Rookie of the Year – Brennan Boesch, Detroit Tigers. The race in the AL is between two Detroit outfielders.  For me, the choice is Boesch.  Since being called up in late April, Boesch has been on fire.  He is 4th in the league in batting average, at .342.  He has hit 12 homer runs, driven in 49 runs, and his OPS is .990.  Runner-up: Austin Jackson.  If not for his teammate, Jackson would be the front-runner.  He’s batting .300, with 20 RBI and 14 SB.  He has been a catalyst at the top of the Tigers’ order and the clear prize in the trade that sent Curtis Granderson to the Yankees.

NL Manager of the First Half – Bud Black, San Diego Padres. See entry on the Padres as surprise team of the first half.

AL Manager of the First Half - Ron Washington, Texas Rangers. Washington has rebounded nicely after a summer of turmoil in which it was revealed that he tested positive for cocaine during the 2009 season.  The Rangers are 4.5 games up in the AL West (the largest lead in the league) and look poised to make a run to their first playoff appearance since 1999.

The First Half is in the Books

Just as the World Cup ended yesterday, so too did the first half of the Major League Baseball season.  As fans and teams settle into the All-Star Break, it is time to reflect on the roughly 3 months of baseball already played.  Thankfully, we have plenty of time to do that, as today and Wednesday are the only two days in the year when there is not a game in one of the four major sports (MLB, NFL, NBA, NHL).

Looking back, the first half of the season has been a bit of a see-saw for both of my teams.  The Phillies started strong, but then entered a month-long slump that saw them fall out of first place.  The Red Sox started poorly, only to rebound to within .5 games of first place and then fade before the Break.

Phillies – The Phillies started quickly, compiling an 8-2 record over their first 10 games, and avoided another terrible April by going 13-10 in the first month of the season.  On May 11, the Phillies were 20-12 and had a 5.5 game lead on the Atlanta Braves.  What a difference a month makes, as one month ago the Phillies had lost that lead and sat 2.5 games behind Atlanta.  A swing of 8 games!  The dramatic turn of events can be attributed to a month-long slump and far better play by the Braves.  The shear totality of the slump was, and still is, most disconcerting.  It seemed the entire offense forgot how to swing (with the possible exceptions of Placido Polanco and Ryan Howard).  Howard has had a great first half.  While he has slightly fewer home runs and RBI than last season, his batting average is 34 points higher.  If Howard heats up after the Break, the way he usually does, his numbers this season could be among his best ever.  Jayson Werth, who started the season looking like an MVP candidate but cooled off over the course of the team-wide slump.  Chase Utley had hit 10 homers by May 20 and has hit 1 since then!  The slump seems to have coincided with Jimmy Rollins‘ brief return from injure and his quick return to the DL.  Rollins, while not a prototypical lead-off hitter, is the spark plug of the offense, when his speed/power combination was out of the lineup, the Phillies’ offense sputtered.  If you compare the offense over the first half with last year, you will find that the Phillies have played 1 more game this season but have scored 50 fewer runs!  That is an average of .57 runs per game less than last season.  They have hit 31 fewer home runs (122 last year, 91 this year), and are worse in every offensive category except triples (21 this year, 15 last year).

This lack of offense has hurt the Phillies’ pitching, which currently ranks 6th in ERA in the national league.  While the pitching staff has an ERA of 3.92, far better than last year when the staff posted an ERA of 4.61 before the Break, the Phillies offense has scored 4.72 runs per game.  This lack of run support has been most noticeable when Roy Halladay is on the mound.  When Doc pitches the Phillies average 3.8 runs per game, or nearly 1 run fewer than their average.  When a pitcher has a 2.19 ERA, there is no way he should have 7 losses before the Break.  He probably shouldn’t have 7 losses in a season.  I’m not sure what causes the Phillies to forget hot to hit when Doc is on the mound.  Are they complacent, thinking he will pitch another perfect game?  Have the myriad injuries affected the Phillies approach at the plate?  Nobody can know for sure outside of the Phillies’ clubhouse.  Cole Hamels has been better this season, posting an ERA over 1 run lower (3.78 this year, 4.87 last year).  While he hasn’t quite recaptured the form that made him the World Series MVP in 2008, he has looked much better than the guy who wished the season was over during the World Series last year.  The rest of the staff has been shaky at best, with some great performances (see Jamie Myer’s two complete games) and some terrible performances (virtually all of Joe Blanton‘s starts, and about half of Kyle Kendrick‘s).  Hopefully, J.A. Happ will return after the Break to bolster the rotation or the Phillies will make a trade or two to reinforce the pitching staff.

Injuries certainly haven’t helped the Phillies with Rollins, Utley, Polanco, and Carlos Ruiz all missing time due to injuries.  The bullpen has also been injured, with Brad Lidge, Chad Durbin, and Ryan Madson all missing games.  This hasn’t helped, as the bullpen has been a weak spot.  Players are being thrust into roles they are unaccustomed to, and haven’t been performing.  One of the few standouts has been Jose Contreras, who filled in as closer when both Lidge and Madson were out.  He performed admirably and has a 2.79 ERA in the first half.  While the subs have played fairly well across the board, clearly the Phillies have missed having their normal line up performing together.

As it stands right now, the Phillies are 4.5 games out of first place in the NL East, and 1.5 behind the Rockies and Dodgers for the Wild Card. As mentioned in previous posts, the Phillies have produced great results after the Break, playing .599 ball over last 5 seasons.  The Phillies swept the NL Central leading, Cincinnati Reds just before the Break and have a great chance to continue momentum as they play the Cubs for four games starting Thursday.  My bold prediction is that the Phillies will storm back to win the division, as the Braves fade down the stretch and the Mets remember they’re the Mets and choke sometime in September.

Red Sox – I wish that the Phillies could have had the luck in replacing their injuries that the Red Sox have had.  At various points this season, it seems that virtually ever major Red Sox player has been injured.  Dustin Pedroia, Victor Martinez, Jacoby Ellsbury, Mike Cameron, and Jason Varitek have all missed significant amounts of time.  J.D. DrewKevin Youkilis, Marco Scutaro and Adrian Beltre (and they have all missed a couple of games).  In the rotation, has also missed more than a few games.  It seem the only starters (in the field) to avoid missing major amounts of time have been Josh Beckett, Daisuke Matsuzaka, and Clay Buchholz have all spent time on the DL.  Only Jon Lester and John Lackey have avoided the injury bug.  What is truly amazing about the Red Sox’s situation is that they are still in contention despite all of the injuries.  They have been very lucky to get the kind of production they have received from their prospects and minor league call-ups.  Daniel Nava, a 27 year-old rookie outfielder, has done more than just occupy an outfield position.  He has hit .300 with 16 RBI in 24 games for the Sox.  Bill Hall (on the opening day roster, so not a call-up) has provided some pop and played 6 different positions.  Darnell McDonald, who never played more than 47 games in a season, has already played in 68 for the Sox, driving in 24 runs and hitting 6 homers.  All of this production is a bonus when a team is trying to fight this many injuries.

At the beginning of the season, the Red Sox stated that their philosophy was to win with pitching and defense.  Many people (including me) wondered who was going to drive in the runs.  Beltre hasn’t had a really good season since 2004 with the Dodgers.  David Ortiz looked a shadow of himself over the last season and a half.  Even Pedroia’s production had fallen off from his 2008 MVP season.  I thought that Youk would have to shoulder most of the offensive load, and that the Sox would lose a ton of low scoring games.  Nobody, except maybe Paul the Octopus, could have predicted the way the Sox were going to win their games in the first half.  The Sox have, unexpectedly, used offense not pitching to win their games.  Currently, the Sox rank 22nd in the majors in ERA and 11th in fielding percentage; however, they are 1st in runs scored, 3rd in batting average and 2nd in home runs.  While Youk does lead the team in most of the offensive categories, Papi has found some of his old swagger, Beltre is having his best season since the aforementioned 2004 campaign, Pedroia’s production has gone up from last season, and Martinez has been solid.

While it may look like the pitching is not living up to the off-season hype, Lester and Buchholz have been phenomenal.  Both pitchers have sub-3 ERAs (Lester – 2.78, Buchholz 2.45).  Lackey, the Sox’s premier off-season signing, has not lived up to his large contract.  I saw this coming, as Lackey had a 4.44 ERA over the previous 3 seasons at Fenway Park.  I remember going to game a couple of seasons ago thinking I was going to see a good game.  Buchholz was starting for the Sox, Lackey for the Angels.  Instead of seeing a great pitching match-up, Lackey was knocked from the game after giving up 7 runs in 4 innings.  While Lackey does have a winning record this season, those numbers are a bit deceiving, as the Sox have given him 5.4 runs of support.  It’s pretty easy to win when your team is scoring that many runs per game when you pitch.  This reminds me a bit of Beckett’s career with the Sox.  He has had double-digit win totals every year in Boston, but has not posted an ERA under 3.27.  As a matter of fact, he won 16 games his first season in Boston (2006).  Maybe Lackey will rebound with a strong 2nd half, but so far he hasn’t been worth the money.  Dice-K has been his usual injured, erratic self and has not really helped the Sox much this season.  He has had a very up-and-down season.  The Sox need him to pitch better in the 2nd half if they hope to make a run to the playoffs.

Heading into the Break, the Sox are 5 games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead and are 3 behind Tampa for the Wild Card.  Over the past five seasons, the Red Sox have posted a .551 winning percentage after the Break while posting a .598 winning percentage before the Mid-Summer Classic.  Hopefully, the Sox will be able to avoid what has become their patented post-Break swoon, as they would finish with 91 wins if they played .551 ball.  On the other hand, if they keep winning at their current pace, the Sox would finish with 94 wins.  Those three games could be crucial because unless something changes dramatically, the three teams at the top of the AL East will fight for 2 playoffs spots.  One team, likely with a very good record, will be watching at home come October.  The Sox face a tough task after the Break, as they play the AL West leading Texas Rangers and newly acquired ace Cliff Lee.

Walk Off Winners

Maybe I should write more posts about how the Phillies might be finished. Since my previous post, Are the Phillies Toast?, the Phillies have won three games in extra innings all in walk-off fashion.  Thursday night, they beat the Reds in 12 on a Brian Schneider home run.  Friday night, they staged a dramatic 9th inning rally to tie the game after being down 6 runs entering the inning.  Then Ryan Howard hit a walk-off, 2-run homer in the 10th.  Saturday night, the Phils nearly had a perfect game pitched against them by Cincinnati rookie Travis Wood.  Thankfully, Carlos Ruiz broke up the perfecto in the 9th inning.  The Phils then went on to score 1 run on a single by Jimmy Rollins in the 11th.  While the win might not have had the drama of the previous two nights, three straight extra inning victories is pretty dramatic.  It’s the first time the Phils have had three straight walk-offs in extra innings.  Roy Halladay pitched another gem and received another no decision.  He continues to be the victim of poor run support.  The Phillies need to score more runs when he pitches.  There is no reason a guy who gives up 0 runs through 9 innings shouldn’t get the W!

Even with this run of semi-miraculous wins, the Phillies haven’t been able to pick up games on the Braves (ok, they picked up a half game because the Braves didn’t play Thursday).  The Braves have won 4 games in a row, and the Phils still find themselves 5.5 games back with 1 game to play before the Break.  This might be the first time ever, but I hope the Mets win today’s game against the Braves.  If the Phillies can get a victory (cross your fingers) and the Mets win, they would be 4.5 back at the Break, certainly a gap they should be able to make up.

Are the Phillies Toast?

While I have been focused on soccer for the last month, my beloved Philadelphia Phillies have slipped further and further behind the Atlanta Braves in the standings.  After last night’s dispiriting loss, the Phils are 6 games behind the Braves with 4 games left to play before the All-Star Break.  Many might blame this lackluster performance on the myriad injuries the Phillies have suffered.  I don’t buy this because one needs look no further than my other team, the Red Sox, to see a team that has continued to play well despite injuries (discounting their recent sweep by the Rays).  In addition, the offense has been impotent.  The Phils currently stand 11th in homers, runs and RBI.  This from the team that finished last season 4th in runs/RBI and 2nd in homers.  The absence of Chase Utley and Jimmy Rollins for parts of the season certainly hasn’t helped.  Rollins is back and Utley is targeting a return in 6 weeks, which would put his return sometime around August 16.

Could the loss last night signal the end of the Phils’ chances to win the division?  They play Braves only 6 more times this season, all of them coming in the final couple weeks of the season.  As of last night, the Phils stand 3 games above .500, one of their poorest performances in recent years before the All-Star Break.  You have to go back to the 2007 season to find them sitting in with a worse record (they were 44-44 that year).  The Phils still have time to add wins (and losses) to their record before the Break, starting a 4 game series against the Cincinnati Reds.  If the Phillies want to contend, they need to win the series against Cincy and play like they have in past after the Break.  As mentioned in a previous post the Phillies have a .599 winning percentage over the last 5 seasons after the Break.  If the Phillies won at that rate for the rest of the season (including the series against Cincy) that would give them 90-91 wins.  That might not be enough to win the division or the Wild Card.  In addition to better play from themselves, the Phillies need the Braves to play poorly.  If Braves keep winning at their current rate (.588) they would have 95 wins, and the Phillies would fall short of the division title.  In addition, the Phillies would have to leap over the Mets who currently occupy second in the division.  That doesn’t concern me, as we know the Mets have a history of choking down the stretch.  I am concerned with the number of teams that currently have better records with the Phillies.   In addition to the Braves, the Reds, Padres, Cardinals, Dodgers, Rockies, Mets and Giants all have better records than the Phils.  Leapfrogging that many teams for the Wild Card could be a tough task.

Do I think the Phils are done? The short answer is no.  I hope that Amaro makes a trade to bring in reinforcements.  The Phils need pitching help and offensive help.  The Phillies should get some of the help they need from returning players.  J.A. Happ is back and pitching at triple A, Ryan Madson should return soon, as should Chad Durbin, Placido Polanco and Carlos Ruiz.  Even with the return of these players, the Phils cannot stand pat and expect to win this division.  The Braves have excellent pitching and have been getting a great deal of production from unlikely sources on offense (see Omar Infante, Martin Prado and a healthy Troy Glaus).  I suspect it will be tough for the Braves to continue to play at such a high level, but stranger things have happened.  If the Braves falter, the Phils need to be playing well to take advantage. The Wild Card competition could be even more difficult, with at least 5 teams ahead of them in the Wild Card standings.

Can the Phillies repeat their amazing run from 2007 and make the playoffs despite a mediocre record at the All-Star Break?  Time will tell, but I sure hope they can.